Russia

We can’t allow Turkey and Russia to fill America’s Middle East vacuum | TheHill

  President TrumpDonald John TrumpBiden to nominate Linda Thomas-Greenfield for UN ambassador: reports Scranton dedicates ‘Joe Biden Way’ to honor president-elect Kasich: Republicans ‘either in complete lockstep’ or ‘afraid’ of Trump MORE appears determined to withdraw as many troops as he can from the Middle East before he vacates the White House on Jan. 20, …

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Fragile peace in Nagorno-Karabakh leaves Russia and Turkey in charge – Business Insider

Armenia and Azerbaijan signed an agreement last week to end six weeks of bloody fighting over the disputed enclave of Nagorno-Karabakh. The agreement is widely seen as a win for Russia, which has regained substantial influence in the region, and for Turkey, whose military support to the gains made by Azerbaijan. Visit Business Insider’s homepage …

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Why Azerbaijan Won – Institute for War and Peace Reporting

Modern-day warfare is very expensive, as well as destructive. A state must have serious economic power and a healthy defence budget to ensure it has access to up-to-date military hardware and remote-controlled combat equipment. Put simply, this is why Azerbaijan won the recent 45-day war in Nagorny Karabakh. An analysis of the number shows that …

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Russian President Putin Wins Upset Victory in Nagorno-Karabakh – Institute for the Study of War

Key Takeaway: Russian President Vladimir Putin’s patient and precise diplomacy outmaneuvered Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan in Nagorno-Karabakh. The Kremlin produced the most significant breakthrough in the disputed zone since 1994 with a Russian-brokered agreement on Azerbaijani terms. Putin and Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev will likely capitalize upon their respective victories as Erdogan fails to gain …

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Controversial ceasefire – Al-Ahram Weekly

ARMENIA and Azerbaijan agreed Tuesday upon a fourth ceasefire under the auspices of Russia, after a six-week war in which thousands have been killed and many more displaced. The deal maintains the control of the Armenian-backed government in Nagorno- Karabakh at the price of conceding significant territory to Azerbaijan; some 2,000 Russian peacekeepers arrived in …

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Analysis: Putin draws Erdogan a red line on Russia’s southern flank with Karabakh deal – Reuters

MOSCOW (Reuters) – Russian President Vladimir Putin has brokered a Nagorno-Karabakh peace deal that locks in territorial gains for Turkey-backed Azerbaijan. In doing so, he has thwarted a stronger Turkish presence in a region Moscow views as its backyard. Six weeks of heavy fighting between Azerbaijan and ethnic Armenian forces over the enclave have tested …

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Turkish troops withdraw from second military base in northwestern Syria – The Globe and Mail

Turkish troops in northwestern Syria have pulled out of a second military base in the area that had been surrounded by Syrian government forces, media activists said Tuesday. The pullout from the observation post in Sher Mogher in northern Hama region comes nearly a month after the evacuation of Turkey’s largest military base in the …

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Turkey says Azerbaijan achieved ‘sacred success’ in Nagorno-Karabakh – Reuters

ANKARA (Reuters) – Turkey said on Tuesday that a deal to end more than a month of fighting in Nagorno-Karabakh had secured important gains for its close ally Azerbaijan in the conflict with Armenia. The agreement, signed by Russia, Armenia and Azerbaijan, follows six weeks of heavy fighting and advances by Azeri forces. On Sunday, …

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From Refugee to Mercenary: Syrians at a Crossroad – McGill Journal of Political Studies

Russia and Turkey are using refugees and Syrian fighters in Azerbaijan and Libya mainly to limit their political exposure. As McGill Professor of Political Science Rex J. Brynen explained, using Syrian refugees is cheaper and limits the risks of domestic and international reprisal. Syrian bodies are seen as dispensable compared to Azeris. Russia is using the same strategy with the Wagner Group in training and advising the LNA and Syrians in Libya. Additionally, as Brynen explained, the Group is making money out of this operation while giving cover to the government since it is not directly involved in the conflict. 

While America counts its votes, Erdogan advances his agenda – Al Monitor

Erdogan has launched Turkey on an increasingly assertive and independent regional posture. Unlike Americans on the right and left, the concept of “endless wars” doesn’t register for him. And despite being a member of NATO, and a onetime aspirant for European Union membership, Erdogan seems to relish accusing Europe, and especially France, of mistreating Muslims, with pointed back-and-forths threatening boycotts and sanctions.

The next US administration may have come to come to terms with a Turkey that is less of an ally and more a self-interested occasional partner — and one that pursues its own agenda at the center of increasingly complex and conflict-prone relations in the Caucuses, the Middle East and the eastern Mediterranean.

Libyan ceasefire agreement faces hurdles due to foreign intervention – Atlantic Council

Turkish forces are entrenching themselves and reinforcing the structures of the military base of Wutiya, one of Libya’s largest airbases, which is strategically located a few hundred miles south of Tripoli and bordering neighboring Tunisia in the northwest. Judging by the magnitude of technical equipment, manpower, and capital injected by the Turkish forces through the airbase, this does not appear to be a temporary presence, but rather a long-term one.

Russia is reciprocating Turkey’s moves at the military base of Jufra in central Libya, a few hundred miles south of the city of Sirte. The LAAF’s nominal control over the coastal city is, in fact, enabled by Russian mercenaries’ heavy presence within it. By way of entrenching themselves in Sirte, the Kremlin-linked Wagner Group is in the strategic position of controlling the lines of defense against a possible attack by the Western Libyan forces while diffusing their presence through the central military airbase of Jufra, the Eastern region of Cyrenaica, and the Southern Libyan region of Fezzan. Their total independence from Haftar’s oft-exaggerated chain of command has already been evinced by their unilateral withdrawal from Tripoli in May—a dynamic which corroborates the assertion that their contemporary maneuvering is coordinated independently from Haftar.

Could Iran, Turkey and others take advantage of US post-election doubts? – The Jerusalem Post

The usual shrill voices have been quiet for a few days, wondering like the rest of the world what might happen. Iranian and Turkish media are taking a “wait and see” approach to the US election. The usual shrill voices have been quiet for a few days, wondering like the rest of the world what might …

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